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Management of Finances




                    Notes

                                     Notes                        Optimal Portfolio (Two Assets)

                                     The investor can minimise his risk on the portfolio. Risk avoidance and risk minimisation
                                     are the important objectives  of portfolio  management. A portfolio contains different
                                     securities; by combining their weighted returns we can obtain the expected return of the
                                     portfolio. A risk-averse investor always prefers to minimise the portfolio risk by selecting
                                     the optimal portfolio. The minimum risk portfolio with two assets can be ascertained as
                                     follows:

                                                                       ¶  2  – Cov
                                                               W  =     B     AB
                                                                 A  ¶ A 2  + ¶ B  2  – Cov AB
                                     In continuation to illustration 9 we can calculate the proportion to be invested (W ) in
                                                                                                         A
                                     Security A.
                                                                   2
                                                               16.31 – 84      182.02
                                                       =                     =      = 0.875
                                                                    2
                                                              2
                                                         (10.49 + 16.31 ) – (2×84)  208.06
                                     Therefore, 87.5% of funds should be invested in Security A and 12.5% should be invested
                                     in Security B, which represents the optimal portfolio.
                                   Self Assessment

                                   State whether the following statements are true or false:

                                   10.  The risk of a security is measured in terms of variance or standard deviation of its return.
                                   11.  Risk minimization is the only objective of portfolio management.

                                   4.8 Portfolio Diversification and Risk

                                   In an efficient capital market, the important principle to consider is that, investors should not
                                   hold all their eggs in one basket; investor should hold a well-diversified portfolio. In order to
                                   understand portfolio diversification, one must understand correlation. Correlation is a statistical
                                   measure that indicates the relationship, if any, between series of numbers representing anything
                                   from cash flows to test data. If the two series move together, they are positively correlated; if the
                                   series move in opposite directions, they  are negatively correlated. The existence of perfectly
                                   correlated especially negatively correlated-projects is quite rare. In order  to diversify project
                                   risk and thereby reduce the firm's overall risk, the projects that are best combined or added to
                                   the existing portfolio of projects are those that have a negative (or low positive) correlation with
                                   existing projects. By combining negatively correlated projects, the overall variability of returns
                                   or risk can be reduced. The Figure 4.3 illustrates the result of diversifying to reduce risk.
                                   It shows that a portfolio is containing the negatively corrected projects A and B, both having the
                                   same expected return, E, but less risk (i.e. less variability of return) than either of the projects
                                   taken separately. This type of risk is sometimes described as diversifiable or alpha risk. The
                                   creation of a portfolio by combining two perfectly correlated projects cannot reduce the portfolio's
                                   overall risk below the risk of the least risky project, while the creation of a portfolio combining
                                   two projects that are perfectly negatively  correlated can reduce the portfolio's total risk to a
                                   level below that of either of the component projects, which in certain situations may be zero.






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