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Unit 4: Risk and Return Analysis




                           = Standard deviation of returns of Security A and Security B       Notes
                         A B
                            = Correlation coefficient between returns of Security A and Security B
                          AB
          The correlation coefficient (AB) can be calculated as follows:
                                 Cov
                            AB =    AB
                                 σ σ  B
                                  A
          The covariance of Security A and Security B can be presented as follows:

                          Cov  =     
                            AB   A  B  AB
          The  diversification of  unsystematic risk, using a two-security portfolio,  depends upon the
          correlation that  exists between  the returns  of those  two securities.  The quantification  of
          correlation is done through calculation of correlation coefficient of two securities ( ).  The
                                                                                AB
          value of correlation ranges between –1 to 1; it can be interpreted as follows:
                       If   = 1, No unsystematic risk can be diversified.
                          AB
                       If   = –1, All unsystematic risks can be diversified.
                          AB
                       If   = 0, No correlation exists between the returns of Security A and Security B.
                          AB
          Illustration 12: The returns of Security of Wipro and Security of Infosys for the past six years are
          given  below:

                     Year            Security of Wipro Return (%)   Security of Infosys Return (%)
                     2003                       9                        10
                     2004                       5                        –6
                     2005                       3                        12
                     2006                      12                        9
                     2007                      16                        15

          Calculate the risk and return of portfolio consisting.
          Solution:
          Calculation of Mean Return and Standard Deviation of Security A:

                  Year            Return (%)           (R – R)            (R – R) 2

                  2003                9                  0                  0
                  2004                5                  –4                 16
                  2005                3                  –6                 36
                  2006                12                 3                  9
                  2007                16                 7                  49
                                      45                                    110

          Mean Return( )  = 45/5 = 9%
                      R
          Standard Deviation (  ) =  110 = 10.49%
                            A
          Calculation of Mean Return and Standard Deviation of Security B






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