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Unit-29: Insurance Choice and Risk



            1. Moral Hazard                                                                          Notes

            This situation exists when a person, who is insured for illness, fire or car accident, behaves as the chances
            of that incident become higher. In this situation, the loss is shifted from person to insurance company
            and bears the big payment. Moral hazard happens when a person is speeding with his car or does not
            lock from the theft and it increases for the accident or theft. Thus, home owner or firm does not put
            fire system after fire insurance which increases the risk of fire. For health, an insured person gets chain
            smoker and gets higher of his risk of illness. As these types of situation, the behaviour of policy taker
            does change. He takes more risk than cover a policy.
            The insurance policy does not give premium in favourable or fair odds due to moral hazard. It includes
            some unique behaviour to protect or lower the moral hazard. For example, an insurance company can
            sell policy to a firm or a home owner if the fire system is used; a person gets life insurance if he does
            the annual checkups; and the premium can increase for multiple accident drivers. Thus the insurance
            companies can decrease the number of payments by lowers the possibilities of fire, illness or accident.
            They can present various agreements to various customers. High premium is taken from high risk
            people and they get full protection, while low premiums are taken from lower risk people and they will
            get only partial protection.
            Think about a people whose cost of house is W. If it catches fire then his money only W  = W – d, where
                                                                                2
            d is wastage of his house. If that person gives α  premium and insured his house from fire then he
                                                   1
            will get α  payment if house catches fire. If no fire then his money will W  = W – α  which is insurance
                                                                      1
                                                                             1
                   2
            premium which he pays. If it catches fire then his money will W  = W – d+ α .
                                                                         2
                                                               2
            An insurance company due to risk averse, to decrease the moral hazard, presents his customer to some
            less favorable odds. This is shown in Fig. 29.2. Point P represents the cost of his house without any
            insurance. In the situation of fire, his money will decrease till OF. It assumes that the possibility of
            situation of fire from situation of fire is multiple of three times means 3:1. This indicates by the sloping
            of his budget line B  which gives possibility of 1/3 (3 to 1). Now assume that the home owner gets
                            1
            insurance policy. To assume that fire happens from possibility 1 to 3, he selects point E on which his
            budget line B  touches indifference curve I . Point E is risk free point for home owner which is with 45
                      1
                                              1
            degree line because α  = NN . After paying the policy premium, his money is W  = W – α  or ON  = OF .
                             1    1                                        1      1     1   1
            So he does not think about fire and here the possibility of fire is maximum. Please note the 45 degree
            line has W  = W or W – d + α  = W – α , so the payment of insurance company covers only the losses of
                    2              2      1
            home if fire catches. Thus the insurance policy will never present him to possibility 3 to 1. This condition
            is shown in Fig. 29.2. The equilibrium point of home owner is R on which his budget line B  touches
                                                                                      2
            his indifference curve I . On this R point, he pays NN  premium but if catches fire, he will get payment
                              2                       1
            lower insured money OF  rather than old insurance money OF .
                                2
                                                              1
                                               Fig. 29.2
                                      W
                                       1
                                            Moral Hazard  45°
                                     No Fire  N N 1  P  R  E I  I 1


                                                       2
                                                             B
                                                              1
                                                          B
                                                           2
                                          45°
                                       A
                                             FF    F   Fire  W
                                                2
                                                    1
                                                               2
                                             LOVELY PROFESSIONAL UNIVERSITY                                   403
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