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bdkbZ 7 % ek¡x fl¼kar esa uwru fodkl
uksV
uksV~l miHkksDrk O;ogkj osQ ijaijkxr vkSj vkèkqfud fl¼kar Øela[;k vkSj x.kuk la[;k mi;ksfxrk
fo'ys"k.k ij vkèkkfjr lS¼kafrd vk£Fkd fo'ys"k.k dk vkèkkj jgs gSaA
2- xR;kRed ek¡x iQyu (The Dynamic Demand Functions)
ek¡x fl¼kar esa ,d vU; uwru fodkl xR;kRed ek¡x iQyu gS] ftUgsa ek¡x osQ forfjr i'prk ekWMy
(Distributed lag models of demand) dgrs gSaA
xR;kRed ek¡x iQyuksa esa vyx pjksa osQ :i esa vk; vkSj ek¡xh xbZ ek=kk osQ i'pkr ewY; 'kkfey gksrss gSa] tks
,d fo'ks"k vofèk esa ek¡x dks izHkkfor djrs gSaA ;s LVkWd&lek;kstu fu;e (Stock adjustment
principle) ij vkèkkfjr gSa tks ;g crkrk gS fd orZeku ek¡x fu.kZ; fiNys O;ogkj }kjk izHkkfor gksrs gSaA
;g ekU;rk gS fd orZeku ek¡x fiNyh (Past) vk; vkSj ek¡x osQ Lrjksa ij fuHkZj djrh gSA ,d LFkk;h
miHkksDrk oLrq osQ fy,] blosQ fiNys Ø; bl oLrq dk ^LVkWd* gksrs gSa] tks Li"Vr;k blosQ orZeku vkSj
Hkfo"; osQ Ø;ksa (tSls ia[ks] flykbZ e'khusa] vkfn) dks izHkkfor djrs gSaA ijarq ,d xSj&LFkk;h miHkksDrk oLrq
tSls [kk|] is;] flxjsV] vkfn osQ fy, fiNys Ø; ,d ^vknr* dks O;Dr djrs gSa] ftls Hkwrdky esa oLrq
dk Ø; vkSj miHkksx djosQ viuk;k tkrk gS vkSj ftlls fiNyh vofèk;ksa esa Ø;ksa dk Lrj ek¡x osQ orZeku
vkSj Hkfo"; osQ <k¡pksa dks izHkkfor djrk gSA fiQj] ek¡x ;k vk; osQ cgqr utnhdh Hkwrdky osQ Lrjksa dk vfèkd
nwj osQ Lrjksa dh rqyuk esa orZeku miHkksx <k¡pksa ij vfèkd izHkko gksrk gSA mnkgj.kkFkZ] ik¡p ;k nl lky igys
vftZr vk; dh rqyuk esa ge fiNys o"kZ dh viuh vk; }kjk vfèkd izHkkfor gksrs gSaA
ek¡x vkSj vk; osQ ,d forj.k&i'prk ekWMy dks bl izdkj O;Dr fd;k tk ldrk gS]
Q = f (P , P ....... Q , Q ....... Y , Y .......)
t t t-l t-l 1-2 t t-1
tgk¡ Q = Ø; dh xbZ oLrq dh orZeku ek=kkA
t
P = oLrq dh orZeku dherA
t
P = fiNyh vofèk 1 esa dherA
t-1
Q vkSj Q = fiNyh vofèk;ksa 1 vkSj 2 esa Ø; dh xbZ ek=kkA
t-1 t-2
Y = miHkksDrk dh orZeku vk;A
t
Y = miHkksDrk dh fiNyh vofèk 1 esa vk;A
t-1
;g iQyu n'kkZrk gS fd orZeku ek¡x fu.kZ; dher] ek¡x vkSj vk; osQ fiNys Lrjksa }kjk izHkkfor gksrs gSaA
(1) fVdkmQ miHkksDrk oLrqvksa osQ fy, ek¡x iQyu (Demand Function for Consumer
Durables)μmQij dk ek¡x iQyu usjykso (Nerlove) osQ LVkWd lek;kstu fu;e ij vkèkkfjr gS
vkSj tc bls fVdkmQ miHkksDrk oLrqvksa ij ykxw fd;k tkrk gS rks ek¡x iQyu bl :i dk gksrk gS]
Q = aY + bQ
t t t–1
tgk¡ Q = orZeku Ø; Y = orZeku vk; Q = fiNyh vofèk esa Ø; dh xbZ ek=kk] vkSj a vkSj b vkSj
t t t–1
izkpy (Parameters) gSaA
;g iQyu fuEu rjhosQ ls O;qRiUu fd;k tkrk gSA
fVdkmQ oLrqvksa dk ,d okafNr (;k bfPNr) Lrj Q gS] tks orZeku vk; Y }kjk fuèkkZfjr gksrk gS]
t t
Q = cY
t t
tgk¡ c izkpy gSA
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