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O;f"V vFkZ'kkL=k osQ fl¼kar




                    uksV          ysfdu miHkksDrk viuh lhfer vk;] vi;kZIr cprksa] lk[k izfrcaèkksa vkfn osQ dkj.k fVdkmQ oLrqvksa dk
                                  bfPNr Lrj 'kh?kz [kjhn ugha ldrk gSA blfy, miHkksDrk izR;sd vofèk esa vius bfPNr Lrj dk osQoy ,d
                                  va'k gh [kjhnrk gSA ;fn fiNyh vofèk esa [kjhnh xbZ ek=kk esa okLrfod ifjorZu Q  – Q  gS] rks ;g
                                                                                                 t   t–1
                                  okaNuh; ifjorZu dk osQoy ,d va'k k gS] Q – Q  vr%
                                                                    t   t–1
                                                   Q  – Q t–1  = k (Q – Q t–1 )                            ...(3)
                                                                   t
                                                     t
                                  tgk¡ Q  – Q   okLrfod ifjorZu gS] Q  – Q  okaNuh; ifjorZu gS vkSj k LVkWd lek;kstu dk xq.kkad
                                       t    t–1                  t   t-1
                                  gS_ vkSj O < k < 1-
                                  lehdj.k (2) dks (3) esa LFkkukiUu djus ls] gesa izkIr gksrk gS
                                                   Q  – Q    = k(c Y  – Q  )
                                                     t   t–1        t   t–1
                                  iqu% O;ofLFkr djus ls]
                                                         Q =(kc) Y + (1–k) Q    )
                                                           t        t         t–1
                                  kc = a vkSj (1 – k) = b lSV djosQ] ge lehdj.k (1) ij igq¡prs gSa
                                                         Q = aY  + bQ
                                                           t     t     t-1
                                  (2) xSj&fVdkmQ miHkksDrk oLrqvkas osQ fy, ek¡x iQyu (Demand Function for Consumer
                                                                  1
                                       Non-durables)μgksFkSdj vkSj Vsyj us usjykso LVkWd&lek;kstu fu;e osQ LFkku ij vknr fuekZ.k
                                       fu;e  (Habit formation principle) LFkkukiUu djosQ mls xSj&fVdkmQ miHkksDrk oLrqvksa ij
                                       iSQyk;kA bl ek¡x iQyu esa] xSj&fVdkmQ oLrqvksa osQ fy, orZeku ek¡x] vU; ckrksa osQ vfrfjDr] vknr
                                       ij vkèkkfjr oLrqvksa osQ fiNys Ø;ksa (Q ) ij fuHkZj djrh gSA ek¡x iQyu bl :i dk gksrk gS]
                                                                    t-1
                                                         Q = a + b P  + b  Δ P  + b Y  + b  ΔY  + b  Q
                                                           t       1 t    2   t   3 t   4   t   5  t–1
                                  tgk¡ a = fLFkjkad] P orZeku dher] Δ P  = dher esa ifjorZu] Y  = orZeku vk;] ΔY  = vk; esa ifjorZu]
                                                 t              t                t               t
                                  vkSj b ls b izkpfyd xq.kkad (Parametric coefficients) xq.kkad gSaA
                                       1   5
                                  okLro esa] xSj&fVdkmQ oLrqvksa osQ fy, ek¡x iQyu fVdkmQ oLrqvksa ls O;qRiUu dh tkrh gS] tks fdlh Hkh
                                  vofèk esa orZeku dher] fVdkmQ oLrqvksa osQ LVkWd] xSj&fVdkmQ oLrqvksa osQ LVkWd osQ fy, vknr vkSj orZeku
                                  vk; Lrj ij fuHkZj djrk gSA

                                  3- vuqHkofl¼ ek¡x iQyu (Empirical Demand Function)
                                  lkekU;r%] ,d oLrq osQ fy, ek¡x iQyu dks ,sls fy[kk tk ldrk gSμ
                                                          Q = F (P, P , P , Y, T)
                                                                     c  s
                                  tgk¡ Q = ek¡xh xbZ oLrq dh ek=kk] P = oLrq dh dher] iwjd oLrqvksa dh dher] P LFkkukiUu oLrqvksa dh
                                                                                               s
                                  dher_ Y = miHkksDrk dh vk;] vkSj T = miHkksDrk dh #fp;k¡A
                                  ;g iQyu n'kkZrk gS fd oLrq dh ek¡x mldh viuh dher] viuh iwjd vkSj LFkkukiUu oLrqvksa dh dherksa
                                  rFkk miHkksDrk dh vk; vkSj #fp;ksa ij fuHkZj djrh gSA
                                  ijarq ;g iQyu bruk lkèkkj.k gS fd bldk dksbZ vuqHkofl¼ vkSfpR; ugha gks ldrk gSA ;g osQoy crkrk
                                  gS fd oLrq dh ek¡xh xbZ ek=kk] fuHkZj pj Q vkSj Lora=k pjksa P, P , P  Y vkSj T osQ chp lacaèk osQ fy,
                                                                                      s
                                                                                   c
                                  fcuk ,d fo'ks"k iQyukRed :i crk,] izR;sd fuèkkZjd dk iQyu gSA ,d vkuqHkfod vuqHkofl¼ ek¡x iQyu
                                  dk vuqeku yxkus osQ fy, ;g O;Dr djuk vko';d gS fd oLrq dh ek¡x ij vU; oLrqvksa dh dherksa dk
                                  ekius ;ksX; D;k izHkko gSA ;fn #fp;k¡ le;ksifj fLFkj jgsa rks dksbZ leL;k mRiUu ugha gksrh gS rFkk T dks
                                  vuqekfur lehdj.k ls fudkyk tk ldrk gSA ;fn #fp;k¡ le;ksifj (Everting) ifjorZu gksrh gSa rks ifjorhZ
                                  osQ :i esa ,d le; pj ys fy;k tkrk gSA f}rh; oqQN le; osQ fy, vkfFkZd vkSj jktuSfrd ?kVdksa osQ dkj.k



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