Page 285 - DCOM504_SECURITY_ANALYSIS_AND_PORTFOLIO_MANAGEMENT
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Security Analysis and Portfolio Management




                    Notes                                        R  = 15,  R = 12
                                                                   x       m
                                                                         (R    R m ) 2  706
                                                                  2  =     m         =      = 78.44
                                                                   m
                                                                           n 1         9
                                                                         (R  x  x R ) (R m  R m )  357
                                                                          Cov  =              =     = 39.67
                                                                               n 1               9
                                                                      Cov      39.67
                                                                    =     xm   =     = 0.506
                                                                         2     78.44
                                                                         m
                                   2.                             Y = 15 x = 12

                                                                  Y =   +  x
                                                                  15 =   + (0.506 × 12)

                                                                    = 15 – (0.506 × 12) = 8.928%
                                      Characteristic Line for Security X =   + (  × R )
                                                                            m
                                      Where R  = Expected return on market index
                                              m
                                         Characteristic Line for Security X = 8.928 + 0.506 R
                                                                                  m
                                   Alpha Coefficient

                                   The alpha coefficient ( ) gives the vertical intercept point of the regression line. In a perfect
                                   world,  the alpha for an individual stock should be zero and the regression  line should go
                                   through the graph’s origin where the horizontal and vertical axis crosses.

                                   If the alpha was positive, the opposite equilibrium process would occur; investors would rush to
                                   buy the security which causes the price of the security to rise and the expected rate on it to fall.

                                   Beta Coefficient

                                   The risk of an individual security can be estimated under CAPM model. The market related risk,
                                   which is also called ‘systematic risk,’ is unavoidable even by diversification of the portfolio. The
                                   systematic  risk  of  an  individual security  is measured  in  terms  of  its  sensitivity to market
                                   movements  which  is  referred  to  as  security’s  beta.  Investors  can  avoid  or  eliminate  the
                                   unsystematic risk by investing funds in wide range of securities and by having well diversified
                                   portfolio. Beta coefficient is a measure of the volatility of stock price in relation to movement in
                                   stock index of the market; therefore, beta is the index of systematic risk.
                                                                      Cov          Cor         Cor
                                                                    =     im   =   i  m  im   =   i  m  im
                                                                   I                2
                                                                       Var
                                                                          m        m           m
                                   Where,
                                                              = Beta of individual security
                                                              I
                                                         Cov  = Covariance of returns of individual security with market
                                                             im
                                                                portfolio
                                                          Var  = Variance of returns of market portfolio (  3 )
                                                             m                                    m
                                                         Cov = Correlation coefficient between the returns of  individual
                                                             im
                                                                security and the market portfolio



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