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Unit 3: Capacity Planning




          3.4 Determining Capacity Requirements: Planning Capacity                              Notes

          In the first place, capacity planning has to address the external environment of the firm. One
          needs to assess the company's situation and think  about why the decision  to alter  capacity
          should be considered.  Is the company responding to a competitor's move?


                 Example: Indian Airlines and Jet Airways are competing in the same market segment of
          air travelers. If Indian Airlines increases its frequency of service, it is likely to draw passengers
          from Jet Airways to Indian Airlines. If Jet Airways does not respond to the Indian Airlines move,
          it risks losing market share.  However, in adding to capacity Jet Airways might also risk under-
          utilization of capacity.  Jet Airways has to assess the risks. On the one hand, Jet Airways does not
          want to add any more capacity if the present demand levels do not warrant it.  On the other hand,
          Jet Airways might have to do so in order to preserve their market share. Such situations occur
          regularly in the competitive arena.
          In the second place, capacity planning has also to be based  on the  demands for individual
          product lines, availability of more efficient technologies, and introduction of new products. As
          demand for the individual product line increases, there  is a need to examine the capacity.
          Addition of assets to enhance capacity should be considered only when available assets do not
          meet the gap in capacity envisaged by the management.

          Similarly, new technologies can make you uncompetitive. It is important to understand why
          you are making a change in  your capacity levels. Management,  before taking a decision on
          capacity, needs to take the following steps:
          1.   Forecast demand for individual products within each product line.
          2.   Calculate the array of assets required to meet product line forecasts.
          3.   Project availabilities of the existing array of assets over the planning horizon.

          Informed capacity decisions can be made only  when management  knows the  ability of its
          present resources and the bottlenecks in the existing array of assets (system capacity) and what
          causes them.
          An  assessment of  individual plant capabilities and  allocation of production throughout  the
          plant network has to be made.
          There must be a high level of confidence in the accuracy of the demand forecast. Once a forecast
          is available and management determines the point where demand exceeds existing capacity, the
          time it takes to add on the additional capacity needs to be determined.
          If capacity is expected to exceed two years in the future and it takes eighteen months to add that
          capacity, then management should begin to plan the construction of the additional capacity six
          months from date. Possibilities are that management can meet the capacity shortfall in the third
          year, as depicted in Figure 3.1 by using the various tactics for matching capacity to demand,
          described further.
          Finally, investment in assets is also necessary to raise the marginal efficiency of capital employed,
          till it equals the interest rate.


                 Example: Reliance Industry's investments in additional capacity were based on a strategy
          to preempt competition and dominate the market. It expanded capacities in each of its businesses,
          and expanded  capacities even  as it  was installing the originally planned smaller  capacities.
          Using this strategy, RIL grew into the largest private sector company in the country. In the 90's,
          no one would have believed that Reliance Industries, a company that went public in the 1970's,
          would turn out to become the largest private sector enterprise in India.
          Therefore, when and how much to increase capacity are critical decisions.




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