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Unit 14: Statistical Process Control




          The trials must meet the following requirements:                                      Notes
          (a)  the total number of trials is fixed in advance;
          (b)  there are just two outcomes of each trial; success and failure;
          (c)  the outcomes of all the trials are statistically independent;

          (d)  all the trials have the same probability of success.
                                                                    2
          The Binomial distribution has expected value E(X), μ = np and Variance, σ  = npq =  np(1-p).
          14.6.7 Poisson Distribution

          Poisson distributions model some discrete random variables. Typically, a Poisson random variable
          is a count of the number of events that occur in a certain time interval or spatial area. For
          example, the number of cars passing a fixed point in a 5 minute interval, or the number of calls
          received by a switchboard during a given period of time.
          A discrete random variable X is said to follow a Poisson distribution with parameter m, written
          X ~ Po(m), if it has probability distribution

                                  m  x
                         P(X = x) =   e −  m
                                  x!
          where               x = 0, 1, 2, ..., n
                             m> 0.
          The following requirements must be met:
          (a)  the length of the observation period is fixed in advance;

          (b)  the events occur at a constant average rate;
          (c)  the number of events occurring in disjoint intervals are statistically independent.
          The Poisson distribution has expected value E(X) = m and variance V(X) = m; i.e. E(X) = V(X) = m.

          The Poisson distribution can sometimes be used to approximate the Binomial distribution with
          parameters n and p. When the number of observations n is large, and the success probability p
          is small, the Bi(n, p) distribution approaches the Poisson distribution with the parameter given
          by m = np. This is useful since the computations involved in calculating binomial probabilities
          are greatly reduced.
          14.6.8 The Normal Curve


          Many phenomena in life where quantitative data is generated follow a normal curve. A normal
          curve is shown in figure 14.17. This is a  continuous density curve. The area under the curve is not
          easy to calculate for a normal random variable X with mean μ and standard deviation σ. However,
          tables (and computer functions) are available for the standard random variable Z, which is
          computed from X by subtracting σ and dividing by σ.
          A normal distribution has a bell-shaped density curve described by its mean μ and standard
          deviation σ. The density curve is symmetrical, centered about its mean, with its spread determined
          by its standard deviation. The height of a normal density curve at a given point x is given by

                                                 1 ⎛ x −μ ⎞  2
                                            1   − 2 ⎝ σ  ⎟ ⎠
                                                  ⎜
                                               e
                                          σ  2π


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