Page 156 - DECO504_STATISTICAL_METHODS_IN_ECONOMICS_ENGLISH
P. 156

Statistical Methods in Economics


                   Notes                                           SCATTER DIAGRAM
                                                            12
                                                                   ESTIMATING LINE
                                                            10
                                                             8
                                                             6
                                                             4
                                                             2

                                                              0    2    4    6   8   10
                                  Merits and Limitations of the Method

                                  Merits

                                  1.  It is a simple and non-mathematical method of studying correlation between the variables. As
                                      such it can be easily understood and a rough idea can very quickly be formed as to whether or
                                      not the variables are related.
                                  2.  It is not influenced by the size of extreme items whereas most of the mathematical methods of
                                      finding correlation are influenced by extreme items.
                                  3.  Making a scatter diagram usually is the first step in investigating the relationship between two
                                      variables.
                                  Limitations

                                  By applying this method we can get an idea about the direction of correlation and also whether it is
                                  high or low. But we cannot establish the exact degree of correlation between the variables as is possible
                                  by applying the mathematical methods.
                                  10.2 Karl Pearson’s Coefficient of Correlation


                                  Of the several mathematical methods of measuring correlation, the Karl Pearson’s method, popularly
                                  known as Pearsonian coefficient of correlation, is most widely used in practice. The Pearsonian
                                  coefficient of correlation is denoted by the symbol r. It is one of the very few symbols that is used
                                  universally for describing the degree of correlation between two series. The formula for computing
                                  Pearsonian r is:
                                                    ∑  xy
                                                r =                                                       ... (i)
                                                    Nσ σ
                                                      xy
                                  Hence         x = (  −  ) XX , y = (  −  ) YY

                                              σ x = Standard deviation of series X
                                              σ y = Standard deviation of series Y

                                               N = Number of paired observations.
                                  This method is to be applied only when the deviations of items are taken from actual means and not
                                  from assumed means.
                                  The value of the coefficient of correlation as obtained by the above formula shall always lie between
                                  ± 1. When r = + 1, it means there is perfect positive correlation between the variables. When r = – 1, it
                                  means there is perfect negative correlation between the variables. When r = 0, it means there is no
                                  relationship between the two variables. However, in practice, such values of r as + 1, – 1 and 0 are
                                  rare. We normally get values which lie between + 1 and – 1 such as + .1, – .4, etc. The coefficient of




         150                              LOVELY PROFESSIONAL UNIVERSITY
   151   152   153   154   155   156   157   158   159   160   161