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Unit 10: Approximate Expressions for Expectations and Variance



            Similarly, the probability distribution of  Y is                                      Notes


                                      Y  1  2  3  4  5  6  Total
                                         1  1  1  1  1  1
                                      P j                  1
                                         6  6  6  6  6  6

                       1   1   1    1   1   1  21
            and  ( ) 1.E Y =  +  2. +  3. +  4. + 5. + 6. =  =  3.5
                      6    6   6    6   6   6   6
            The conditional distribution of X when Y = 5 is


                                X        1         2         3    Total
                                      1   6  1  1  6  1   1  6  1
                               /Y =  5  ´  =      ´  =     ´  =     1
                             P
                              i
                                      18  1  3  18  1  3  18  1  3
                          1
            \   ( /E X Y =  5) =  (1 2 3+ +  ) 2=
                         3
            The conditional distribution of Y when X = 2 is


                                      Y     1  2  3  4  5  6  Total
                                            1  1  1  1  1  1
                                   P
                                     /X =  2                  1
                                    j
                                            6  6  6  6  6  6
                          1
            \   ( /E Y X =  2) =  (1 2 3 4 5 6+ + + + +  ) 3.5=
                          6
            Since the conditional distribution of X is same as its marginal distribution (or equivalently the
            conditional distribution of  Y is same as its marginal distribution),  X and Y are  independent
            random variables.


                   Example 10: Two unbiased coins are tossed. Let X be a random variable which denotes
            the total number of heads obtained on a toss and Y be a random variable which takes a value 1
            if head occurs on first coin and takes a value 0 if tail occurs on it. Construct the joint probability
            distribution of X and Y. Find the conditional distribution of X when Y = 0. Are X  and Y independent
            random variables?
            Solution.

            There are 4 elements in the sample space of the random experiment. The possible values that X
            can take are 0, 1 and 2 and the possible values of Y are 0 and 1. The joint probability distribution
            of X and Y can be written in a tabular form as follows:



















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